The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is shaping up to be a real cliffhanger. The minutes of July’s meeting didn’t give a clear signal regarding the September move for a rate hike. It is clear, however, that the participants are not in agreement yet. The Fed’s downside risks have increased since their meeting […]
Beth Ann Bovino
Beth Ann Bovino is the U.S. Deputy Chief Economist at Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services, based in New York. In this position, she develops S&P’s U.S. economic forecasts and authors the monthly U.S. Economic Forecast, the quarterly U.S. Risks To The Forecast, the weekly Financial Notes and the Weekly Economics Call. Beth Ann has created Industry Drivers reports for analyst research. She is quoted regularly in the press and has appeared on many major television programs. Further, she has written many articles for popular and professional publications.
Before joining Standard & Poor’s in February 2004, Beth Ann spent over ten years doing economic and market research with Sungard Institutional Brokerage, UBS Warburg, and the Federal Reserve.Beth Ann holds a bachelor’s degree in Economics from the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania, a master's degree in International and Development Economics from Yale University and a Ph.D. in Economics from Columbia University.
Author Archives: Beth Ann Bovino
The first set of data for the third quarter has been more positive than negative. Last week we saw solid employment numbers and business sentiment. This week, the positives continued to outweigh the negatives. Even revisions of key second-quarter data points are now showing that the economy may have in fact expanded at closer to […]
Recent data suggest the U.S. economy has rebounded fairly well from its contraction in the first quarter of the year, giving financial-market participants, as well as American businesses and consumers, reason to be somewhat optimistic. Job gains accelerated after a lull in March, and housing activity strengthened after a deep winter chill. Also, at long […]
Neither the Federal Reserve’s minutes to April’s Federal Open Market Committee meeting nor Chair Janet Yellen’s speech this week gave any clear indication of a time frame for interest rate liftoff. Fed Chair Yellen said an initial rate liftoff this year is “appropriate” if the economy continues to improve as forecast. She expects the subsequent […]
Perhaps the best reflection of the economic pressures Millennials face can be seen in the U.S. housing market. The pace of household formation and the rate at which Millennials head their own households is declining. In fact, detailed data show that the drop in homeownership during the financial crisis was the largest for people ages […]
Both generations grew up amid a major financial crisis, making them less willing to spend and more likely to save. What sets them a part, though, is the burden of student loans. Millennials have a bad rap. We imagine them spending their days updating social media accounts with headsets covering their ears and their parents’ […]
The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported that just 126,000 payroll jobs were added in March. With the downward revisions of past two months, job gains have now averaged 197,000 per month this quarter (compared with 324,000 the previous quarter). The unemployment rate remained 5.5%, and yearly wage growth continues to stay within 1.8%-2.2%. The […]
The Federal Reserve’s Financial Accounts of the U.S. (previously known as the Flow of Funds report) showed that in fourth-quarter 2014 U.S. households saw the largest increase in their net worth since fourth-quarter 2013. While far from being equally distributed, household net worth is now 26% higher than its 2007 pre-recession peak, mainly due to […]
American consumers’ spirits are very strong. The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index rose 4.5 points in January to reach 98.1, the highest level since January 2004. Clearly, consumers feel increasingly confident about their economic prospects. This is good news since a more confident consumer is likely to spend more on big-ticket and discretionary items. […]
Last week’s 321,000 payroll jobs gain continues a positive trend, as we have seen additions of 200,000 or more jobs for 10 straight months. The report gives the Fed what it needs to continue down the path of potentially raising the Federal funds rate in the middle of next year, the first such hike in […]