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Author Archives: David Blitzer

Quarter of all 4th Quarter Home Sales Were in Foreclosure

Realty Trac’s 2011 Foreclosure sales report reveals that 24% of home sales in the 2011 4th quarter were in some stage of foreclosure or bank-owned properties.  These sales totaled 204,000, down 8% from the third quarter and down 2% from the 2010 fourth quarter. For all of 2011, foreclosure and bank-owned sales totaled 907,100, down 2% [...]

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S&P/Case-Shiller Report on Tuesday February 28th

Recent news is looking better for housing — New Home Sales up in January, existing home sales solid, housing starts almost touched 700,000 units and the National Association of Home Builders index rose. Other economic news looking better as initial unemployment claims staying around 350,000 well below recession warning level of 400,000 and University of [...]

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Housing Research

While everyone is worried about home prices and mortgages, there is some interesting research in housing and the economy showing up in various places.  A few recent items are worth mentioning.  One common comment about housing is that the housing bust has left many people with under water mortgages who can’t move to take a [...]

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Ben Bernanke on Housing

Ben Bernanke, Chairman of the Federal Reserve, spoke to the National Association of Home Builders meeting in Orlando, FL today.   Housing continues to face difficulties and is a key factor in the currently weak and disappointing economic recovery.  Bernanke pointed to too much supply in housing due to vacancies and continued foreclosures across the country.  [...]

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Prices Are Not the Issue

Looking at rent-buy comparisons and inflation adjusted home prices shows that prices are not the problem facing the housing market.  The rent-buy ratio is close to the average of the last 25 years.  Although  renting is gaining market share from home ownership, recent increases in apartment construction suggest that rents increases won’t be strong enough [...]

Posted in Consumer Sentiment, Housing Data, Inflation | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

Borrowing, Lending and Progress

Mortages and debts were key issues in the housing boom and bust and the financial crisis that followed. Mortgages, or the lack thereof, are one of the reasons why housing is still suffering even as the rest of the economy struggles to recover.  Some recent developments point to possible improvements: News out this morning says [...]

Posted in Consumer Credit, Economic Data, Fed | Tagged , | Leave a comment

Ranking the Cities

For those keeping score, the table shows how the twenty cities ranked in the November numbers by the current index — which shows the gain or loss in the last 12 years – the peak index and the depths of the drop from the peak.  Note that in the last column the city ranked 20th, [...]

Posted in Housing Data, S&P/Case-Shiller Indices | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 4 Comments

How the Cities Did – November 2011

November home prices were disappointing across the board.   The 20-City composite, which set its recent low last March, is less than one index point from setting a new low. The 10-City composite has a slightly more comfortable margin but not much.  Among the individual cities, four reached new post-boom lows: Tampa, Las Vegas, Seattle and [...]

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What Next for Home Prices

Next Tuesday, January 31st, will see the next S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices report with data for November 2011. Coming off some signs that the economy is strengthening combined with mixed reports on housing, attention will focus on home prices. Bullish sentiment will point to the preliminary 4th quarter GDP report released on Friday, January 25th. [...]

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Foreclosures Continue to Decline

RealtyTrac reports that foreclosure activity across the US in December and the full year 2011 dropped sharply. Foreclosure filings in 2011 totaled 2.7 million, down 34% from 2010 and 33% below 2009 and 19% below 2008.  Overall 1.45% of US homes experienced a foreclosure filing, about one in every 69 houses. Comparable percentages for earlier [...]

Posted in Foreclosures, Shadow Inventory | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments
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